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Table 1 Joinpoint analysis of human brucellosis in different regions in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2004 to 2023

From: The continuous expansion and spread of human brucellosis in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region: evidence from epidemiological and strains’ genotyping-based analysis

Cohort

Segment

Period

APC

95% CI

P-Value

Aksu Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

1

2004–2009

38.78*

10.6389–53.4863

0.023

Aksu Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

2

2009–2014

105.41*

84.5662-150.5744

0.000

Aksu Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

3

2014–2020

-25.38*

-34.6193~-19.6157

0.000

Aksu Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

4

2020–2023

59.21*

26.152-131.3935

 0.000

Altay Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

1

2004–2008

-12.29

-42.6775-8.2158

0.183

Altay Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

2

2008–2016

28.98*

19.3228–76.9331

0.005

Altay Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

3

2016–2021

-19.93

-45.0402-9.9758

0.057

Altay Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

4

2021–2023

59.30

-10.0809-124.4399

0.086

Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

1

2004–2008

-12.94*

-21.3819–6.1662

0.000

Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

2

2008–2014

36.51*

30.6469–44.2913

0.000

Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

3

2014–2021

-10.12*

-14.9142–7.3837

0.000

Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 3 Joinpoints

4

2021–2023

36.46*

12.8329–52.6661

0.000

Bortala Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2014

143.70*

75.3532-680.5839

0.000

Bortala Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

2

2014–2023

-10.81

-81.17-32.8633

0.522

Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2015

67.91*

49.3689–102.957

0.000

Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

2

2015–2023

-1.84

-31.7484 ~ 16.9046

0.786

Hami City − 0 Joinpoints

1

2004–2023

47.75*

24.2628 ~ 74.9475

0.000

Hotan Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2013

93.05*

47.0052 ~ 1019.9506

0.009

Hotan Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

2

2013–2023

16.60

-77.7602 ~ 47.4065

0.512

Kashgar Prefecture − 0 Joinpoints

1

2004–2023

41.21*

30.3309 ~ 53.0675

 0.000

Karamay − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2014

135.74*

70.419 ~ 792.0491

0.003

Karamay − 1 Joinpoint

2

2014–2023

-5.54

-81.7384 ~ 38.8243

0.692

Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

1

2004–2008

-10.22

-80.2744 ~ 73.9321

0.573

Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

2

2008–2011

1217.13*

306.7922 ~ 2397.4834

0.013

Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

3

2011–2023

40.28*

10.1494 ~ 63.3571

0.019

County level administrative units directly under the autonomous region − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2006

3089.18*

257.2018 ~ 12650.4405

 0.000

County level administrative units directly under the autonomous region − 1 Joinpoint

2

2006–2023

10.61

-4.4096 ~ 22.2151

0.150

Tarbagatay Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

1

2004–2015

61.48*

47.0315 ~ 78.922

0.004

Tarbagatay Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

2

2015–2020

-39.41*

-64.0864~-19.8833

0.025

Tarbagatay Prefecture − 2 Joinpoints

3

2020–2023

74.99*

3.939 ~ 269.6887

0.038

Turpan City − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2014

176.89*

99.9237 ~ 940.9778

 0.000

Turpan City − 1 Joinpoint

2

2014–2023

6.83

-82.5745 ~ 57.2994

0.853

Urumqi − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2006

1453.88*

57.472 ~ 11526.0727

0.001

Urumqi − 1 Joinpoint

2

2006–2023

17.00

-12.9891 ~ 29.5032

0.094

Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

1

2004–2014

137.63*

90.0182 ~ 246.3046

 0.000

Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture − 1 Joinpoint

2

2014–2023

-9.67

-43.0699 ~ 17.8221

0.416

  1. Note: AAPC, average annual percent change
  2. *Significantly different from 0 at alpha = 0.05 (p < 0.05)
  3. CI, confidence interval